- US markets closed higher.
- But it has given up half of the gains in last hour.
- Asian markets are mostly positive.
- SGX Nifty crossed 14050 yesterday night but now trading around 13970.
- Still this will be a gap up of more than 100 points.
- Nifty has fallen more than 1000 points intra month in Jan series.
- Bank Nifty has fallen more than 3000 points intra month in Jan series.
- Last month FIIs began with more than 75% long in F&O.
- This month it is only 62%.
- Markets are light going in to budget.
- Decissive direction will be set only after budget.
- For very short term, 50DMA of 13700 is a good support.
- Yesterday markets took support near 13700.
- Pharma stocks will be in focus as many pharma stocks will declare results.
- Moreover when overall markets are weak, pharma and FMCG tend to do well.
- Whenever huge selling happens in bluest of blue chip stocks like HDFC Bank and HDFC, the bottom is somewhere near.
- Yesterday I could feel that, at the same time, markets may not rally from here.
- Markets may consolidate, budget will be the next big trigger for markets.
- Today Economic Survey will be tabled, everything may look good.
- This is a bull market correction.
- So fast and furious.
- Selling Put options in most beaten down stocks is a good idea.
- Premiums are high due to India VIX spike, but must be prepared to take delivery if the price falls.
- One can look at HDFC Bank, HDFC, Reliance, Kotak Bank, etc
- This is just beginning of the series, Nifty 13000PE and 15000CE have highest OI among Puts and Calls respectively.
- So broader range for Nifty in Feb can be 13000 to 15000.
- Though FIIs have sold heavily, DIIs have bought for more than Rs 1500 crores.
- That is a good news for bulls.
- Many people will like to keep away from markets due to budget.
- Nifty future may trade vetween 13840 and 14050.
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