- The roller coaster ride is on.
- At some point yesterday, Dow future was down more than 1000 points.
- But Dow closed in Green.
- Bank Nifty future was down more than 1000 points down from day before yesterday high to yesterday low.
- Bank Nifty is trading around 20K but making 20K moves in a month. 800 to 1000 points up move or down move has become common.
- Yesterday market was supported by Reliance, if not Nifty would have broken even 9600.
- Reliance has crossed all time high silently.
- I am expecting a target of Rs 1700.
- Today that will be interesting stock to watch.
- All private sector banks fell significantly yesterday.
- ICICI Bank was down by 5.5% at one point.
- Banks and NBFCs did very badly.
- FIIs have sold for Rs 2960 crores.
- With this, they are sellers for fourth straight day and sold for more than Rs 6000 crores.
- FIIs seems to be fairly short in the market.
- They added short possitions in both Index Futures and Stock Futures, bought Put Options and sold Call Options.
- That is the perfect situation for short covering rally.
- Now SGX Nifty is showing a huge gap up of about 180 points.
- There will be panic among short sellers.
- That will take Nifty above 10K at least momentarily.
- But after the short covering, I am expecting at least one dip, as FIIs are expected to sell further.
- Moreover DIIs will like to book some profits at higher level, typically above 10K as they supported the markets at 9500-9600 range.
- Sold Reliance Puts heavily expecting sharp move up side in Reliance.
- In this kind of high volatile markets, short straddle is the best way to handle market volatility.
- Premiums are so high on both sides.
- While writing this blog, SGX Nifty is showing 10009.
- All the beaten down stocks are likely to see short covering.
- Nifty future may trade between 9880 to 10080.
Stock chart patterns are simply a visual representation of the prices buyers and sellers bought and sold at in the past. There is no magic in a chart pattern they just show you what happened in the past and what has a higher probability of happening in the future. The best use of chart patterns is to take a wider view of the trend on your time frame of choice and follow the path of least resistance. A chart pattern can show that a stock is in a range with defined resistance and support. A chart could also show an uptrend of higher highs and higher lows or a downtrend of lower highs and lower lows. Stock chart patterns signal whether a stock is under accumulation or distribution or just trading in a defined price range. The most popular use of stock chart patterns is for breakout trading signals as the probability increases of a move in a specific direction after a price breakout of a previous support or resistance. They are basically momentum indicators. The va...
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