Skip to main content

Nifty Bank nifty outlook and expectations 12th June


  • US markets fell nearly 7%.
  • Second wave of Corona Virus, Fed cautious outlook for Economy, Nasdaq trading at all time high, all contributed to huge profit booking.
  • All stocks that shot up, airlines, cruise liners, all that benefit due to opening up of Economy, came under severe selling pressure.
  • In Feb 2018, Dow fell 5% during the market hours, when Asian markets opened next day morning, Dow Future fell another 5%.
  • Probably Institutional sell data was very bad that day.
  • But today, after falling 7% yesterday, Dow Futures is up nearly 300 points.
  • So that reduces damage in Asia.
  • SGX Nifty hit a low of 9400 yesterday night, now trading around 9600.
  • In fact we partially factored in in yesterday's trade.
  • We should not fall more than 2 to 3%.
  • DIIs may step in, in the afternoon to support the market. We can expect some recovery towards the end of the day.
  • Who knows? Govt may reduce GST rates in today's GST Council meet.
  • If anything like that happens and if US markets recover tonight, we see interesting Monday.
  • Markets have been highly volatile since May.
  • But Corona problem is getting worse in India, now India is fourth most affected country.
  • Yesterday both FIIs and DIIs have sold for more than Rs 800 crores each in Cash market.
  • Nifty 9900 was a good support but that was broken yesterday.
  • Next support is at 9500. With today's expected fall Nifty would have retraced 50% of the last rise from 9800 to 10350.
  • So logically that should be a good support.
  • Though there is an increase in Corona infections in US, US has no intention of closing the Economy.
  • I will not be surprised if Nifty closes above 9700 today. 
  • SGX Nifty seems to be over reacting. 
  • But markets will be under pressure in the morning, may be some margin Calls.
  • Now Nifty 10000 will be the resistance for the rest of the series.
  • So I am planning to sell CE above 10000.
  • SGX Nifty seems to be over reacting. 
  • Nifty future may trade between 9500 and 9800
  • Comments

    Popular posts from this blog

    STOCK CHART PATTERNS

      Stock chart patterns   are simply a visual representation of the prices buyers and sellers bought and sold at in the past. There is no magic in a chart pattern they just show you what happened in the past and what has a higher probability of happening in the future. The best use of chart patterns is to take a wider view of the trend on your time frame of choice and follow the path of least resistance.  A chart pattern can show that a stock is in a range with defined resistance and support. A chart could also show an uptrend of higher highs and higher lows or a downtrend of lower highs and lower lows. Stock chart patterns signal whether a stock is under accumulation or distribution or just trading in a defined price range.  The most popular use of stock chart patterns is for breakout trading signals as the probability increases of a move in a specific direction after a price breakout of a previous support or resistance. They are basically momentum indicators. The va...

    FLOAT IN STOCK MARKET

      Float in a stock is the number of shares of a company that is currently trading publicly on the exchange and is available for traders and investors to buy and sell. The stock float is calculated by taking a company’s total issue of outstanding shares and subtracting any restricted stock. Pre IPO investors, employees and founders can’t sell their restricted shares because they can be in a lock-up period for a time following the IPO usually between 90-180 days. Executives and insiders many times can also be restricted from selling shares around earnings announcement dates.  This occurs when an insider could have knowledge of information not public yet where the sale of shares could be considered insider trading in a legal sense. A company’s float is an important metric to show the liquidity of shares for a company. It can show the supply of shares on the open market and give a clearer view of supply and demand. Share float is the shares traded on the stock exchanges and price ...

    What is Smart Money Concept (SMC) in Forex & Gold Trading?

    What is Smart Money Concept (SMC) in Forex & Gold Trading? Educational only. Not financial advice. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) explain how institutional order flow drives price. Instead of chasing indicators, SMC focuses on market structure, liquidity, order blocks, and imbalances to find high-probability zones—especially effective on volatile pairs like XAUUSD (Gold) . Why Retail Traders Get Trapped Obvious highs/lows gather stop orders (liquidity). Price often sweeps these levels, triggers stops, then reverses. Institutions use these sweeps to fill large positions . Core SMC Building Blocks 1) Liquidity – Pools of stop losses resting above swing highs or below swing lows. 2) Order Blocks (OB) – The last opposing candle before an impulsive move. A bullish OB is the last down candle before a rally; a bearish OB is the last up candle before a selloff. 3) Imbalance / Fair Value Gap – A fast move that leaves thin trading between candles. Price often revisit...